So, mostly for my benefit, here is my first cut at a voting order for the senate:
- Dems (grp I), John H (Grp B), Waters (Grp M), ALP (O), Greens (M)
- LDP (B), CCC (C), Carers (D), WWW (A), Secular (W)
- Coalition (J)
- Unaligned independents
- RR (K), NCP (U), SOL (E), Baker (X), Couper/Brown (N), FF (H)
- Fishing (G), Fishing & Lifestyle (P), Shooters (L), Socialists (F), CDP (T), One Nation (Q), DLP (V), CEC (S), Pauline (R)
- people I'd quite like to see get elected
- people I wouldn't really object to seeing elected in that they're mostly harmless
- the incumbents who have abused the senate and thus don't deserve election
- independents I know little about
- people whose election I would consider somewhat dangerous
- people whose election I would consider distinctly dangerous
Update: I've been thinking about why senate preference deals matter, in light of the "just vote below the line" argument. If at some point in the STV count, my preferred candidate is elected, I get a bonus part vote. This is because that candidate's surplus votes are redistributed to other candidates, proportionally to the preferences of all those who voted for that candidate. Now, because 95% of votes are above the line, basically my bonus part vote is redistributed according to the party's preferences, not mine. So, if I vote for John, and he gets in (unlikely though that is), then my bonus part vote is going to go to Pauline Hanson and the DLP before Andrew Bartlett, which I couldn't stomach.
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